Higher Learning Lab · Resources

Claim Check: AI in Education

Claim Check rates whether the claims made by causal studies of AI in education are supported by their evidence and reasoning.

Prototype. No final ratings have been published. One preliminary example is shown below for demonstration purposes. The rating instrument, CERIC-T, is at version 0.4 and in calibration. Ratings will be published with version 1.0 and its reliability figures. Every rating is made by people; AI tools do not rate.

Where the work stands so far

52

Studies on Stanford’s causal list

The starting set for Claim Check.

26

Studies in the tracker

Screened in and entered in the database.

10

Claims coded by two people

From five studies, coded by blinded coders and reconciled in calibration round one.

0

Final ratings published

All ratings are held during development until version 1.0.

Search and filter

Coming soon

Search and filters open with the first release of ratings.

StudyLevelPublication statusStageClaimImplications
Bastani et al. 2025K–12Peer-reviewed
PNAS
0.10% retracted (169 of 165,210)
Coded and reconciledCI
Kreijkes et al. 2026K–12Peer-reviewed
Computers & Education
0.08% retracted (5 of 6,554)
Coded and reconciledCI
Stadler et al. 2024Higher educationPeer-reviewed
Computers in Human Behavior
0.03% retracted (3 of 8,673)
Coded and reconciledCI
Meyer et al. 2024K–12Peer-reviewed
Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence
0.15% retracted (1 of 664)
Coded and reconciledCI
Abbas, Jam & Khan 2024Higher educationPeer-reviewed
International Journal of Educational Technology in Higher Education
0% retracted (0 of 598)
Coded and reconciledCI
Queued studies (21)
StudyLevelPublication statusStageClaimImplications
Fütterer et al. 2026K–12Peer-reviewedQueued
Heldreth et al. 2026K–12Peer-reviewedQueued
Henze et al. 2026Higher educationPeer-reviewedQueued
Meyer et al. 2026K–12Peer-reviewedQueued
Ozturk et al. 2026Higher educationPeer-reviewedQueued
Zhao et al. 2026Higher educationPeer-reviewedQueued
Barcaui 2025Higher educationPeer-reviewedQueued
Lim et al. 2026K–12 (teachers)Peer-reviewedQueued
Zhao et al. 2025Higher educationPeer-reviewedQueued
Chan et al. 2026Higher educationPeer-reviewedQueued
Fischer et al. 2025Higher educationNot yet peer-reviewedQueued
LearnLM Team, Google & Eedi 2025K–12Not yet peer-reviewedQueued
Blasco & Charisi 2025K–12Not yet peer-reviewedQueued
Becker et al. 2025K–12Peer-reviewedQueued
Chen et al. 2025Higher educationNot yet peer-reviewedQueued
Degen et al. 2025Higher educationNot yet peer-reviewedQueued
Ferman et al. 2021K–12Not yet peer-reviewedQueued
Demszky et al. 2025K–12 (teachers)Peer-reviewedQueued
Demszky et al. 2023K–12 (instructors)Peer-reviewedQueued
Kim et al. 2021K–12Peer-reviewedQueued
Holstein et al. 2018K–12Peer-reviewedQueued
C SupportedC Supported with concerns, or Some concernsC Not supportedI OverstatedC Held, not rated, or cannot be evaluatedC is the Claim rating; I is the Implications rating.

Counts as of 2026-11-12. Publication status for queued studies is provisional until screening. Retraction rate: retracted articles and reviews as a share of all articles and reviews the journal has published, from OpenAlex on 2026-11-13. Calibration records were made under CERIC-T version 0.3 and are kept as the reliability record; they are not published as ratings, except the one preliminary example above.

Why it is needed

A study can have a sound design and still claim more than it shows. Journalists, legislators, and educators mostly need the claim, not the design.

Stanford’s review of causal studies

Asks whether a study’s design can support a causal claim using WWC criteria. Claim Check is built on Stanford’s AI Hub for Education list of causal studies and complements it.

Claim Check

Extends and complements those findings to analyze the studies’ arguments from evidence. It also records who was studied and if dependence was studied.

How a rating is made

CERIC-T is a tracker version of the CERIC Method. Its conceptual model is ROBIS (Whiting et al., 2016), a tool for assessing risk of bias in systematic reviews: signaling questions, element evaluations, and a rule-based rating.

The CERIC Method: Bjorn, G., & Burgasser, A. J. (2026). How to critically read the scientific research literature: Introducing the CERIC Method. Cambridge University Press. cambridge.org

ROBIS: Whiting, P., Savović, J., Higgins, J. P. T., et al. (2016). ROBIS: A new tool to assess risk of bias in systematic reviews was developed. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 69, 225–234. doi.org/10.1016/j.jclinepi.2015.06.005

CERIC-T in brief

CERIC-T reads a study as an argument with five elements: the Claim, the Evidence, the Reasoning that connects them, the Implications the authors draw, and the Context of earlier research. For each element, coders answer signaling questions and cite the page that supports each answer. Each element is then evaluated as Supported, Some concerns, or Not supported.

Fixed rules turn those evaluations into two ratings. The Claim rating comes from the Claim, Evidence, Reasoning, and Context. The Implications rating comes from the Implications alone, and is given only when the Claim holds up.

Supported
A randomized trial finds that students who used an AI tutor scored higher on a test taken without it. The authors claim that result, for the students and the test they studied.
Some concerns
The same trial describes its result as improved “learning” in general, or does not report how many students left each group.
Not supported
A one-time survey finds that students who use chatbots more have lower grades. The authors claim that chatbots lower grades.
Overstated
A single-session study in one school concludes that schools should adopt the tool, or ban it. Overstated applies to the Implications only.

These examples are illustrations, not real studies.

Step 1

Full text

Coders work from the original article and its supplement, never from an abstract or a summary.

Step 2

Two coders, blinded

Each answers 41 signaling questions across Claim, Evidence, Reasoning, Implications, and Context, and evaluates each element.

Step 3

Rules applied

The database applies the published decision rules to produce the two ratings. No one can override a rating, but humans can check and append it if needed.

Step 4

Reconciled

Where the coders differ, one proposes with a reason and the other accepts, or a third person decides.

Step 5

Released

The director approves each release. Every rating records the instrument version it was coded under.

The design rules

  • A coder cannot see the other coder’s work until both have submitted.
  • A submitted coding is locked. A correction needs another coder’s approval and keeps the original.
  • AI agents cannot write an answer, an evaluation, or a rating. They check references, completeness, and consistency, and raise flags for people to close.
  • Every change is logged with who made it.

The database code and its automated tests are public: github.com/higherlearninglab/hill-database.

What Claim Check users will see

Each main claim in a study gets one card with two ratings: one for the Claim, one for the Implications the authors draw from it. The card below is for a real study in the calibration set. Its results are preliminary.

Kreijkes, P., et al. (2026). Effects of LLM use and note-taking on reading comprehension and memory: A randomised experiment in secondary schools. Computers & Education, 243, 105514. doi.org/10.1016/j.compedu.2025.105514
The main claim, as recorded for coding

Note-taking, alone or combined with LLM use, gave better retention and comprehension three days later than using the LLM alone.

The Claim
Supported with concernsPreliminaryThe direction of the result holds: note-taking, alone or with the LLM, outscored LLM use alone on retention and comprehension three days later. Concerns: the wording moves from test scores on two short passages to “learning” in general; support for the combined condition is much weaker than for note-taking alone; 61 of 405 students (15%) were excluded, and attrition is not reported by group; the conclusion generalizes from one activity, one 2023 model, and two passages.
The Implications
OverstatedPreliminaryThe authors say the study shows which AI skills students need and that students require more training. Neither was tested: students’ prompts were never linked to their results, and no finding supports the training recommendation. The proposed monitoring and paste restrictions are given little discussion of their practical costs, such as data governance and teacher workload.
Evidence tier
Strong, Tier 1Randomized controlled trial. Tier from the ESSA tiers of evidence (U.S. Department of Education, 2016).
Publication status
Peer-reviewed journal: Computers & Education.Journal retraction rate: 0.08% (5 of 6,554 articles and reviews; OpenAlex, 2026-11-13).
Dependence
Not studiedThe chatbot was available on demand, up to 20 prompts. The study did not measure whether responsibility moved to the student. No teacher managed its use.
Durability
Studied and reportedMeasured three days after the chatbot was removed. No outcome was measured during use, so the study cannot show whether an effect held.
Who was studied
Studied, not analyzedYear 10 students in England, aged 14 to 15. Described in the sample: students from low-income households; English learners and multilingual learners. Effects were not analyzed for either group, and the authors say so.
Rating scales.
The Claim:SupportedSupported with concernsNot supportedCannot be evaluated
When it is Not supported, the card also says what the study can support.
The Implications:SupportedSome concernsOverstatedNot rated
Overstated applies only to the Implications. They are not rated when the Claim is not supported or cannot be evaluated.
Evidence tier:Strong (Tier 1)Moderate (Tier 2)Promising (Tier 3)Demonstrates a Rationale (Tier 4)No Rationale Demonstrated
Adapted from the ESSA tiers of evidence (U.S. Department of Education, 2016, Non-Regulatory Guidance: Using Evidence to Strengthen Education Investments); the fifth level is HiLL’s addition.
Dependence, Durability, and Who was studied:Studied and reportedStudied, not reported or not analyzedNot studiedCannot be evaluated

Preliminary: this study was coded by two people in calibration round one, under version 0.3 of the instrument. The results may change before version 1.0.

Reliability and validation

Calibration round one is complete: two coders independently coded ten claims from five studies and reconciled every difference. The instrument reliability data led to version 0.4 of the instrument.

What changed in version 0.4

Every element is now evaluated against the claim as the authors state it. Questions that divided the coders were reworded, split, or dropped. Each question carries an anchor. The Claim and the Implications are rated separately.

Round two

About 30 claims, coded under version 0.4.

Version 1.0

Released when agreement between coders reaches 0.70 (kappa) on each element, reported with its interval and the other agreement statistics.

Round-one agreement figures will be published with version 1.0.

Reported beside the ratings

These answer additional questions a rating cannot.

Evidence tier

The study’s design, using the names of the ESSA tiers of evidence (U.S. Department of Education, 2016), with one added level for studies that reach none of them.

Dependence

Whether an AI tool that supports learning hands responsibility to the student over time, whether the study measured that, and whether a teacher managed its use. This item applies a framework published by HiLL’s director (Bjorn, 2026, preprint).

Durability

Whether the outcome was measured after access to the AI tool was removed, and whether the effect held.

Who was studied

Whether students in any of the 22 groups in HiLL’s definition of vulnerable students were described in the sample, and whether effects were analyzed for them.

How Dependence, Durability, and Who was studied are shown

Studied and reportedStudied, not reported or not analyzedNot studiedCannot be evaluated

The same four colors as the ratings, with their own meanings. These are not ratings of the study’s argument.

What the evidence does not yet cover

Gaps in the literature are emerging, and each could be the basis for future research.

  • Randomizing minors to companion-AI exposure with a measure after the AI is removed.
  • Which groups of vulnerable students have been sampled or analyzed: Held until human review
  • Measuring outcomes more than three months after AI access is removed.
  • Comparing the same tool with and without pedagogical guardrails in a companion or emotional-support context.

Adjacent evidence, not appraised

Studies of school-age youth outside a school or college setting. They fall outside Claim Check’s appraisal scope and are listed for context.

  • McBain et al. 2026, JAMA Pediatrics, 180(8). Cross-sectional, nationally representative survey of US youth aged 12 to 21 (n = 1,009) on use of AI chatbots for mental-health advice and whether they told anyone.
  • Namvarpour et al. 2026, CHI ’26. Computational thematic analysis of self-reported Reddit narratives about teens’ reliance on AI companion chatbots.

Open and independent

Independent

HiLL does not accept funding from AI developers or edtech vendors.

Open

The database code and tests are public now. The CERIC-T codebook will be published under CC BY-ND 4.0 with version 1.0.

Answerable

Authors and readers can query any rating at [email protected]. Rules and ratings carry their version, and changes are logged.

Who does the work

Genevieve Bjorn, Ed.D.

Director of the Higher Learning Lab; lead coder. Co-author of the CERIC Method.

Adam J. Burgasser, Ph.D.

Co-Investigator and Senior Research Advisor. Professor of Astronomy and Astrophysics, UC San Diego. Co-author of the CERIC Method; second coder for calibration.

Scientific advisory panel

A scientific advisory panel is being formed to review the instrument and its validation. Members will be named here as they join.

What funding makes possible

The instrument, the database, and the coding system are built and working. What limits the tracker now is coder time.

Versions 0.1 to 0.9

Instrument testing and development with preliminary results.

Version 1.0

Completing validation and publishing the codebook with its reliability figures.

External review

A panel review of the instrument’s content, after version 1.0.

Funders and reviewers: we are glad to walk you through the instrument, the system, and the calibration record.

[email protected]
Higher Learning Lab · 501(c)(3) · Last updated 2026-11-13.